Have you experienced the sound of planes overhead and then a dramatic change in the weather? One possible explanation is the occurrence of cloud seeding planes and their intention to increase moisture. In this issue of the Headwaters Magazine, Elizabeth Miller discussed the phenomenon of cloud seeding and its application in Colorado in her article "Let It Snow". She describes the process of snow formation in clouds this way: "Every snowflake starts with water drops and ice crystals on bits of dust and pollen in the atmosphere. When enough water vapor freezes around those aerosols, gravity pulls them down as snow" (p. 29).
According to the article, Understanding Snow, also in this issue, the snow
accumulated in the Colorado mountains constitutes the state's natural reservoir
that generates 80% of the state's surface water. Measuring the amount of
water produced from a snow event started as a manual process, physically
recording the snow the skier or snowshoer encountered taking samples to
estimate water content. Now, in addition to the manual methods, automated
methods using telemetry, "Snowpack Telemetry (SNOTEL)(p. 15)",
supplements the data.
Back to cloud seeding. Scientist discovered that the introduction of silver
iodide particles into clouds could increase the amount of moisture and snow.
Silver iodide gets dispensed either via a plane or with on-ground equipment.
Research on the amount of water generated from cloud seeding vary. Studies done
by the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, conducted in 2017,
documented an increase of 5% to 30% in one seeding event. An article in the New
York Times, Cloud Wars, recounted the use of the process in the Middle East
with less precipitation results and reported that Israel, nationally, had
abandoned the technique for increasing water volume.
Miller’s article indicated that the State of Colorado had funded eight
"weather modification programs" within the state, impacting water
districts and ski areas. They include: Vail/Beaver Creek, Upper Gunnison, Grand
Mesa, San Juan Mountains, two in the North Platte, and the St. Vrain and Left
Hand Conservancy Program. To monitor the amount of moisture generated,
each of the above programs submits reports with the data that estimates the
amount of cloud seeding, and an estimate of "how much cloud seeding
changed their snowpack and others offering precipitation amounts for seeded and
non-seeded storms" (p. 29).
Funding for the project, approximately $1.5 million annually, California,
Arizona and Nevada--the lower basin states in the Colorado River
Compact--contribute close to one-third with the hope of increasing water
volumes in the Colorado River. Andrew Rickert, Colorado Water Conservation
Board's Weather Modification Program manager, viewed cloud seeding as one
instrument that Colorado could employ. From the reports of the program
participants, he estimated an increase in precipitation of 5% to 30%. The
article has an insert picture with that projection. The author quotes Rickert
as saying: "At $2 per acre-foot, that's just amazing bang for the
buck" (p. 29).
At a conference that I attended, I posed this question: "If there is a
fixed amount of water, does cloud seeding take moisture from one area at the
detriment of other areas?". The speaker responded that the question was
under investigation. This article does not address that question. Other
articles in this issue explain that ski resorts, specifically Eldora, hope that
precipitation can be augmented by stored water in ponds created in geographic
depressions and reservoir expansion, if there are no clouds to seed.
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